Tuesday 13 March

Well the big day has arrived - more from Cheltenham in a mo - but we started Festival week in the best possible fashion with a 9/1 winner - Viscount Rossini - the top-rated horse on the HorseGraph in the 4.10 at Taunton. So we made a profit of 14.5 points on the day and more importantly have a little bit up our sleeves for the tough week ahead.

For our first Cheltenham HorseGraph we are having a look at the 5.20 on Tuesday - the Fred Winter Juvenile Novices' Handicap Hurdle over 2m 110y. Firstly, on the cosmetics - you will notice that I have replaced the horse names with their racecard number - there are too many horses to make the names legible !

Considering the competitive nature of the race the HorseGraph gives quite a strong pointer to the chances of Alan King's Pouvoir. This one fairly skated up on soft ground at Kempton last time and is potentially well treated on his handicap debut. He is trading at around 6.2 currently on Betdaq.

We'll also play on racecard numbers 2,3,6 and 15. That's Ned Ludd (45), Pancake (14), Junior (33), and Madroos (16) with their respective current odds in brackets.

Good luck !

Recommended Bets
2 point win Pouvoir
1 point win Ned Ludd
1 point win Pancake
1 point win Junior
1 point win Madroos

Comments

[Graham]

I think the graph was telling us to add an extra back for the fave today, still you have to draw the line somewhere to draw a profit. Exciting race though, Pouvoir looked to have it at one point. Good selections in such a large field.

[David Stewart]

Hi Graham

Thanks for message. Yes - very frustrating as Gaspara missed the cut by a millimetre :(

It was always a danger that Gaspara would win like that but I took the view that the race at Sandown on testing ground would have just took its toll on her. Obviously not !!!

Hope for better luck today.

David