Friday 9 March

I was delighted with yesterday's result. The top-rated Seribase ran a cracker for a horse that was trading at 35 in the morning on Betdaq and finished third (18/1 SP) to claim our place part of yesterday's bet. We also had two points on the winner Jericho III for a profit on the day of 10.2 points.

Today's HorseGraph is the 3.35 at Ayr which has a quite obvious pointer to the chances of Or De Grugy who is rated well clear of his rivals. He is only average and indeed still a maiden over hurdles but this is a case of a moderate horse looking extremely good in a very poor field. At face value the current odds of 5 look generous and I would be looking to have a fairly major bet if not for one factor - the ground. It's heavy at Ayr today and the evidence suggests this horse is best on good ground. If it was good today - I'd be looking at around a 6 point win - but instead I am going to play a strategy which you may consider to be slightly eccentric !!!

My take on this horse is that he will either win - or get so bogged down in the ground that he will be out with the washing - I don't think there is any middle ground (excuse the pun). The benefits of exchange betting are that it allows the punter so many more options and I am going take full advantage of them today by recommending a win bet, and a place LAY insurance on the same horse. So we still want him to win, as the graph suggests he will - but if he does flop - we'll cover the stake - unless of course he finishes second or third.

Inch High does have form in heavy ground and gets a good rating, whilst Celtic Empire is big enough odds to include as a bet without doing much damage.

Recommended Bets
3 point win Or De Grugy
PLACE LAY Or De Grugy win 3 points
1 point win Inch High
1/2 point win Celtic Empire

Comments

[Mark Iverson]

Hi David,

You have a great site. I've been reading since you started and I've been very impressed by your results - Horse Racing isn't an easy game to make money from!

I've added a link to your site on my blog - I'd appreciate it if you could return the favour. My link is:

http://markiverson-professionalsportstrader.blogspot.com/

All the best and thanks!

Mark

[David Stewart]

Mark - thanks for the message and link which has been reciprocated.

Best Wishes
David

[David Snoddy]

Hello David
Not a comment for posting.
Just a request for your email address(i am not using outlook)just a few points i would like to discuss with you regarding the service.
Many thanks in advance.
Regards
David